6.4 Market risk
Market risk
Market risk is the risk that the fair value and future cash flows of financial instruments will fluctuate due to changes in market variables such as interest rates, foreign exchange rates, price of equity and fixed income securities.
The objective of market risk management is to manage and control market risk exposures within acceptable parameters, while optimising the return on risk. The Group separates its exposure to market risk between trading and banking book as defined below:
Market risk arising from trading book
Trading positions are held by the Treasury division, and include positions arising from market making and proprietary position taking, together with financial assets and liabilities that are managed on a fair value basis. Realised and unrealised gains and losses on these positions are reported in consolidated income statement.
Market risk arising from banking book
Market risk from banking book arises from execution of the Group core business strategies, products and services to its customers, that invariably create interest rate risk to the Group endeavors to manage through strategic positions to mitigate the inherent risk caused by these positions.
Banking book includes all positions that are not held for trading such as but not limited to the Group’s investments in instruments designated at FVTOCI, loans and advances carried at amortised cost and other financial assets held for long term.
These exposures can result from a variety of factors including but not limited to re-pricing of gaps in assets, liabilities and off-balance sheet instruments and changes in the level and shape of market interest rate curves.
Risk identification and classification
The Board Risk Management Committee (BRMC) approves market risk policies for the Group. All business segments are responsible for comprehensive identification and verification of market risks within their business units. Regular meetings are held between market risk management and the heads of risk taking businesses to discuss and decide on risk exposures in the context of the market environment.
Management of market risk
The Board of Directors have set risk limits based on the Value-at Risk (VaR), which are closely monitored by the risk management division and reported regularly to the BRMC and discussed by ALCO.
Market risk is identified, measured, managed and controlled by an independent risk control function. Market risk management aims to reduce volatility in operating performance and make the Group’s market risk profile transparent to senior management, the Board of Directors and Regulators.
Risk measurement
The following are the tools used to measure the market risk, because no single measure can reflect all aspects of market risk. The Group uses various matrices, both statistical and non-statistical, including sensitivity analysis.
Statistical risk measures
The Group measures the risk of loss arising from future potential adverse movements in market rates, prices and volatilities using VaR methodology. The VaR that the Group measures is an estimate, using a confidence level of 99% of the potential loss that is not expected to be exceeded if the current market positions were to be held unchanged for one day. This confidence level suggests that potential daily losses in excess of the VaR measure are likely to be experienced, once every hundred days. The Board has set limits for the acceptable level of risks in managing the trading book.
The Group uses simulation models to assess the possible changes in the market value of the trading book based on historical data. VaR models are usually designed to measure the market risk in a normal market environment and therefore the use of VaR has limitations because it is based on historical correlations and volatilities in market prices and assumes that the future movements will follow a statistical distribution.
The VaR represents the risk of portfolios at the close of a business day and intra-day risk levels may vary from those reported at the end of the day. The actual trading results however, may differ from the VaR calculations and, in particular, the calculation does not provide a meaningful indication of profits and losses in stressed market conditions.
The Group uses three major methods for calculation of VaR. They are (1) Historical Simulation Method, (2) Parametric Approach and (3) Monte Carlo Simulation.
Allocation of assets and liabilities
The following table sets out the allocation of assets and liabilities subject to market risk between trading and non-trading portfolios
| 31 December 2022 |
Market risk measure |
||
| Carrying amount | Trading portfolio | Non-trading portfolio | |
| AED’000 | AED’000 | AED’000 | |
| Assets subject to market risk | |||
| Cash and balances with U.A.E. Central Bank | 370699 | – | 370699 |
| Due from banks and financial institutions | 395788 | – | 395788 |
| Loans and advances | 2001148 | – | 2001148 |
| Islamic financing and investing assets | 22636 | – | 22636 |
| Investments, including associate | 350961 | 58832 | 292129 |
| Insurance receivables and contract assets | 247943 | – | 247943 |
| Interest receivable and other assets | 107360 | – | 107360 |
| Liabilities subject to market risk | |||
| Due to banks | 30059 | – | 30059 |
| Customers’ deposits and margin accounts | 2060674 | – | 2060674 |
| Short term borrowings and medium-term loans | 406667 | – | 406667 |
| Unearned premiums | 112657 | – | 112657 |
| Gross claims outstanding | 91669 | – | 91669 |
| Lease liabilities | 537 | – | 537 |
| Interest payable and other liabilities | 141188 | – | 141188 |
| 31 December 2021 |
Market risk measure |
||
| Carrying amount | Trading portfolio | Non-trading portfolio | |
| AED’000 | AED’000 | AED’000 | |
| Assets subject to market risk | |||
| Cash and balances with U.A.E. Central Bank | 157844 | – | 157844 |
| Due from banks and financial institutions | 444043 | – | 444043 |
| Loans and advances | 2082265 | – | 2082265 |
| Islamic financing and investing assets | 30305 | – | 30305 |
| Investments, including associate | 405896 | 59685 | 346211 |
| Insurance receivables and contract assets | 175958 | – | 175958 |
| Other assets | 96382 | – | 96382 |
| Liabilities subject to market risk | |||
| Due to banks | 26720 | – | 26720 |
| Customers’ deposits and margin accounts | 1716385 | – | 1716385 |
| Short term borrowings and medium-term loans | 541910 | – | 541910 |
| Unearned premiums | 81377 | – | 81377 |
| Gross claims outstanding | 82982 | – | 82982 |
| Lease liabilities | 1105 | – | 1105 |
| Other liabilities | 235685 | – | 235685 |
- Interest rate risk
Interest rate risk arises from the possibility that changes in interest rates will affect future cash flows or the fair values of financial instruments. The Group is exposed to interest rate risk on its interest-bearing assets and liabilities.
The following table demonstrates the sensitivity of the income statement to reasonably possible changes in the interest rates, with all other variables held constant, of the Group’s result for the year.
The sensitivity of the income statement is the effect of the assumed changes in interest rates on the Group’s profit for the year, based on the floating rate financial assets and liabilities held at 31 December 2022.
Equity |
||
| 1% increase | 1% decrease | |
| Cash flow sensitivity | AED’000 | AED’000 |
| 31 December 2022 | 737 | (3,917) |
| =============== | =============== | |
| 31 December 2022 | 6,704 | (5,553) |
| =============== | =============== | |
ii. Currency risk
Currency risk is the risk that the value of a financial instrument will fluctuate due to changes in foreign exchange rates. The Board of Directors has set limits on positions by currency. Positions are monitored on a daily basis and it is ensured these are maintained within established limits.
Foreign currency risk is limited since a significant proportion of the Group’s transactions, monetary assets and liabilities are denominated in U.A.E. Dirham and U.S. Dollar. As the U.A.E. Dirham is pegged to the U.S. Dollar, balances in U.S. Dollar are not considered to represent significant currency risk. Exposure to other currencies is insignificant to the overall Group.
iii. Price risk
Price risk is the risk that the fair values of equities and fixed income securities decrease as the result of changes in the levels of equity and fixed income indices and the value of individual instruments. The price risk exposure arises from the Group’s investment portfolio.
The following table estimates the sensitivity to a possible change in equity and fixed income markets on the Group’s consolidated statement of profit or loss. The sensitivity of the consolidated statement of profit or loss is the effect of the assumed changes in the reference equity and fixed income benchmarks on the fair value of investments carried at fair value through profit or loss.
| Equity | ||
| 5% increase | 5% decrease | |
| AED’000 | AED’000 | |
| 31 December 2022 | ||
| Investments carried at fair value through profit or loss | ||
| Abu Dhabi Securities Market Index | 1,753 | (1,753) |
| Dubai Financial Market Index | 1,188 | (1,188) |
| Investments carried at fair value through other | ||
| comprehensive income | ||
| Abu Dhabi Securities Market Index | 5,001 | (5,001) |
| Dubai Financial Market Index | 1,241 | (1,241) |
| Unquoted investments | 2,257 | (2,257) |
| —————————— | —————————— | |
| Cash flow sensitivity | 11,440 | (11,440) |
| =============== | =============== | |
| 31 December 2021 | ||
| Investments carried at fair value through profit or loss | ||
| Abu Dhabi Securities Market Index | 1,791 | (1,791) |
| Dubai Financial Market Index | 1,194 | (1,194) |
| Investments carried at fair value through other | ||
| comprehensive income | ||
| Abu Dhabi Securities Market Index | 6,617 | (6,617) |
| Dubai Financial Market Index | 1,640 | (1,640) |
| Unquoted investments | 2,298 | (2,298) |
| —————————— | —————————— | |
| Cash flow sensitivity | 13,540 | (13,540) |
| =============== | =============== | |
